Tuesday, May 29, 2012

ES_F : Follow Up

On May 25, 2012 I described a corrective pattern that I felt would possibly fool some traders. Read that commentary here





Above is the chart that I left readers with. As you can see price has now reached a new high that may have completed the corrective pattern that I spoke of.  



As of the time of this post, the market seems to have made a small 5 wave decline from the top. There are two confluent zones at 1326 and 1327.75 that I will be watching for possible areas to sell into. Should the market continue to subdivide and break below 1321.75, before hitting the described targets, the possibility exists that a more complex correction may be unfolding or the current wave is not completed. 

Either way it appears the market is heading lower. 


2 comments:

  1. More complex correction seems likely. Possibly an expanded flat w.ii to 1327.75 -1328 as the higher probability target. Break below 1321.5 negate expanded flat interpretation. Let's see.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Disappointing in that yesterdays close that took out the highs. I never got a reversal signal at 1328. Interestingly, the CASH ($SPX) didn't. Futures can often be manipulated, as I believe in this case was a stop running exercise before taking the market lower.

    In the ON session, prices have collapsed, which would be more in line with $SPX and most likely a gap down open.

    ReplyDelete