Showing posts with label The Market Pulse. Show all posts
Showing posts with label The Market Pulse. Show all posts

Monday, September 26, 2011

The Market Pulse




Today's price action brought uncertainty to the wave count. After hours of deliberation, my preferred count shall remain w fifth wave decline but the magnitude of the move from w.iii blue low is deep and appears to be incomplete. Look for upside potential to 1168.25.





Dropping to the 7200 tick chart, I've labeled the subdivisions from w.iii low where the market is making a (W)-(X)-(Y) where w.3 circle red is complete and I'm looking down in the ON session followed by another push that completes at 1166.

While I am cautious this market, the overall short term wave count suggests that 1166-68 is a significant area to watch.

Let's see what happens and remain flexible until market either tips it's hand that the next round of selling has begun or whether a suitable alternate wave count is necessary to explain price action.


Best of Trading

Friday, September 16, 2011

Before the Bell: More Manipulation of Markets

Announcements:

As a result of my ongoing efforts to build my new website, some readers may have noticed that my intraday Tweets and content posting has been cut back to just M-W-F. I appreciate your understanding and patience.

When my schedule permits, I will make every effort to follow the market intraday and make blog entries.


The Emini S&P:

Here's a quote I read from the Associated Press, "Global stocks remained buoyed by the decision of five top central banks to provide unlimited amounts of dollar loans to the banking sector, easing one of the concerns driving the recent turbulence in financial markets of late."

While this persistent manipulation is frustrating in that it blows up short term wave counts.... it doesn't change the larger degree bearish view.




In Wednesday's Market Pulse, I features two existing elliott wave counts, of which the chart above was invalidated  on a break above 1199.75.

However, as in any corrective structure, there are still multiple ways of labeling the structure and often the count is unclear, sometimes until it's complete. This is why attempting to trade a complex structure can be hazardous to your account.

In this weeks edition of Heard on the Street , I'll be showing how the intraday price action still fits within the larger degree bear trend. Until then....



... here is the other interpretation, the contracting triangle. Notice how I was looking for a decline yesterday that never materialized and the wave structure continued to subdivide. Thanks Central Bankers!




Here is the updated chart through yesterdays close. The ideal target remains where w.c circle = .618 w.a circle at 1210.75.

Technicals already show divergence therefore the wave structure at this juncture is mature. Let's see how the lower intraday time frames look at the open.


Best of Trading

Wednesday, September 14, 2011

The Market Pulse




In Monday's update, I left readers with two interpretations... one where w.5 was underway and the other had w.4 red unfolding as a possible triangle (see chart below).




In both interpretations, I told readers that I expected the market to push higher (see here ) and it has.

The first chart represents the w.5 interpretation and has been updated through the close of the daily session. Should this interpretation be correct, there will be no guessing tomorrow or in the ON session. Price will fall impulsively and in a thrusting manner.

Should this not occur, odds are that the triangle pattern is playing out. If so, price will fall either in the ON session or in tomorrow's trade to approx. 1143.25 setting up a rally where w.(c) = w.(a) at 1210.75.




And finally, here is the 5 min. chart level where I Tweeted, " watching 1194.25 for c=a " The actual high printed just beyond this key level. The low represents either w.b circle of the triangle or w.(i) of w.iii circle of w.5 red. Let's see what develops.

Best of Trading

Sunday, September 4, 2011

Heard on the Street: Do you trade what you see or trade what you think?

Do You Trade What You See or Trade What You Think?  



ANNOUNCEMENTS:
  • This weeks holiday edition will only focus on the emini SP Futures as I want everyone to know where this market is headed and the supporting evidence that leads to my conclusions. The videos will return to following several markets in the week ending 9/10/11.
  • By way of keeping you abreast of the progressions of my work... my blog-site has simply outgrow itself, has it's limitations and can't best serve the community of EWL 's followers.  As a result, I'm excited to share with everyone that I have formed SINIBALDI ANALYTICS, a private financial and investment publishing company and content provider of "The Market Pulse", "Heard on the Street" and "Global Gains" newsletters. The company is also engaged in providing educational trading services to long and short term traders.
  • I have begun working on the website www.elliottwavelive.com . The site will maintain access to free content, educational resources, the blog, a forum and offer premium services. Look for updates soon.