- You'll notice a few changes to my video productions. I'll be adding a table of contents so that readers have the choice of either viewing the entire video or select specific areas of interest.
- I'd like to thank everyone who provided feedback on my blog. Of those comments, here are a few requests that I would explore further.
- Several readers have asked for more intraday forecasts of the ES futures market's direction. What other Markets would you be interested in receiving on an intraday basis?
- What is the best method of providing intraday forecasts? Flash Alert or Live Trading Room?
Please comment directly to this feed if you have a google account or send a Twitter direct message to @elliottwavelive .
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THE MARKETS:
The broader US indices have decline for six straight weeks. News headlines have quickly soured and concerns about a global growth slowdown remain. The Nasdaq and the Russell 2000 both turned negative for the year and there's just not buying interest at this point.
The question remains... are we witnessing a correction or an escalating situation that could lead to another crippling economic downturn? To find out, watch this weeks video edition of Heard On The Street.
Hi MIke. Thanks for the update ... you always do a super job. Just out of curiosity ... where in the literature do you find that wave c of a running (contracting) triangle can not be more than 61.8% of wave b? In my work I just need it to be less than 100%. Am I missing something? Thanks in advance for your help.
ReplyDeleteSaxby Fox- If you are referring to the readings of Elliott Wave Principle, you will not find that fib ratio discussed anywhere in the text.
ReplyDeleteThe ratio comes from the Neely method which has some value and it does fit within the retracement levels stated on page 139 of Frost and Prechter's work where w.c = .618 w.a. For the S&P, w.c would be 58-59 points placing the terminus at 1308. The .618 retracement of w.b is at 1287.25. So both methods roughly explain the same point, using different waves.
As always, nothing is guaranteed but I prefer to take a statistical approach to the market. By exceeding the most common levels of retracement, the running triangle pattern at a minimum should be questioned and other higher probability counts should become the preferred count.
Hope that helps
Fair enough Mike. Thanks for the courtesy of your response.
ReplyDeleteSaxby Fox- feel free to comment anytime. I welcome the interaction and appreciate others views on the market.
ReplyDelete