Corn May Be Ripe For Picking: Follow the Trade

Corn Set Up May Be Ripe For Pickings....

I've been following the impulsive move in corn for awhile and I believe that corn is nearing a position where a possible trade setup is developing. This set up comes on the heals of my previous work featured here and in my opinion may be one of high reward / low risk.

Note: The following work was completed last evening so there may be some progression in price that differs from these time stamped charts. 

Since I intend to take an actual position in the ETF, ticker CORN, rather than the futures contract, readers will have to use this blog post as a guide when labeling their CORN charts. 

Over the next few weeks, periodic updates will be made so that readers can learn how I'm actively using elliott wave in real time with regard to order entry, risk management and taking profit. It should provide an excellent learning experience!

The Analysis

At the weekly chart level, Corn is advancing impulsively in five waves, of which w. (5) is underway and  mature in the fact that only w.5 red is needed to complete the move before a meaningful top is in place.

A typical elliott wave Fibonacci target for a w.5 = .618 {w.1 - w.3} at 914^4

Turning to the daily chart level, I've labeled the subdivisions of w. 4 and waves w.i and w.ii circle of w. 5 appear to be complete. Should my analysis be correct, price progression should follow the general outline provided which becomes my trade plan for this market. 

The Set Up

Dropping to the 4 hr chart, my trade plan shown at the daily chart level now includes the internal subdivisions of the w.iii circle advance. 

In order for me to consider risking my money, I'm looking for an entry that limits and clearly defines my risk while maximizes my reward. 

Pre-Trade Conditions: 

1. Corn must sketch out the remainder of w.(i) without any overlap of 745^2 (w.i extreme). In doing so, a five wave advance occurs that doesn't break the rules for impulsive waves. 

2. According to Elliott, an actionary or trend wave (5 wave move) is followed by a reactionary wave that develops in 3 waves, therefore a w.(ii) counter trend move should occur. This corrective move CANNOT print below 732^4 or the count becomes invalid.

3. Ideally, the depth of the retracement of w.(i) will not go beyond .618 w.(i) which will be calculated after the w.(i) advance has terminated. 

We'll leave it there for now. My next post in this series will review that the pre-trade conditions were met;  describe w.(ii) in further detail and set forth the conditions of the actual trade. 

Until then.....

Best of Trading

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Fair Disclosure Notice: I do not have a position in any of the aforementioned futures markets or securities related to this article.