Monday, December 24, 2012

Coffee: Nearing An Inflection Point ?

Coffee To Rally in 2013?



It seems like an eternity but Coffee may be nearing an important inflection point that should lead to a significant counter trend rally!

I've been following the decline in coffee since May 2011 and posted my trade plan for this market.




Since that time, price has continued to grind lower.  I've listed two downside targets that represent where:  w.5= w.1 at 114.65 and w.5 = .618{w.1-w.3} at 95.05. Also not that the previous 4th, at one lesser degree, a common elliott support zone is right in this area.





Dropping to the weekly level, we can see that the minimal requirements for a completed w.5 circle has already been met i.e. price has made a new low below w.3, yet the two downside targets at the monthly level are still possible. 

Not shown, MOMO indicators exhibit bullish divergence but my suspicion is that we need to make at least another low. 

If you trade coffee it's time to watch price action closely. 2013 main bring significant gains! 


Best of Trading




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