Thursday, August 30, 2012

Why FED Will Not Disappoint


 "The Boys Club of Wall Street Cronies"

Already Know The Outcome. We Don't! 

The general market has been range bound leading up to the Fed’s annual symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. For weeks I've been looking for clues as to whether or not the central bank will use the address to pave the way for another round of monetary stimulus via quantitative easing or asset purchases.

Yesterday I gave my opinion on Gold  . Charts of silver are similar in nature. My trading plan requires another up sequence to complete what I believe is a corrective pattern. If that statement implies that recent price appreciation has built in a positive FED announcement and a sell the news event occurs, then so be it. 

Regardless of what the FED states, does or doesn't do, the charts tell me that each market should rally into my target zones and then fail. As such, I don't believe that the FED statement will take further easing off the table but the won't commit to it either therefore aligning the wave pattern top with the news event. 

I'll be monitoring gold and silver for further evidence that a fourth wave is completing. Should gold and silver trade above 1677.5 and 31.10 respectively before the market closes, it most certainly will make tomorrow even more interesting. 

Best of Trading

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Fair Disclosure Notice: I do not have a position in any of the aforementioned futures markets or  securities related to this article. 

3 comments:

  1. Have seen what EWI Clear wave structure that they are seeing right now? Is it the same as yours and mine? Id like to know this if you have any information on it. Here is my take.

    http://mproe.blogspot.ca/2012/08/gold.html

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    1. I don't follow EWI posts, although I credit my experience and some of my knowledge from their educational materials. However, due to the fact that Bob P. has his analysts promoting long term counts through short term analysis, IMO, they are not nimble enough for traders and their counts are frequently incorrect.

      With that said, they do have the same gold count as I posted several days ago at : http://bit.ly/PNUI3W

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    2. Yes that is what I found wrong with EWI aswell. I used to subscribe to thier paper and analysis but I just think its too vague and they get it wrong all the time. I just dont think they use enough indicators to properly adjust for it. There are 21 different patterns.. that is worse than choosing buy or sell. Not to say EW doesnt work, but it cant be precise if indicators are not used.

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