An educational blogsite dedicated to teaching the Elliott Wave Principle, Fibonacci Ratio Analysis and Market Timing strategies.
Primary focus is on the E-mini S&P. Please read the risk disclosures contained within this blog.
Sunday, January 2, 2011
10 yr Notes
The 10 yr notes have completed a five wave decline to end w.1. From a pure EW play, the previous w.iv is the target (123^14) which also is in agreement with the .50 retracement for w.c of w.2.
Trade has reached 121^04 where w.C w.A. If my initial assumption is correct whereas w.1 completed at 118^17, then the subsequent correction is too small given the decline from 128^01. This implies two possibilites:
1. The move to 121^04 would be counted as w.A of a 3-3-5 move to complete w.ii circle or
2. The current wave structure is actually part of w.iv and w.1 down is still unfolding.
NOTE: Either interpretation calls for lower prices in the near term.
Trade has reached 121^04 where w.C w.A. If my initial assumption is correct whereas w.1 completed at 118^17, then the subsequent correction is too small given the decline from 128^01. This implies two possibilites:
ReplyDelete1. The move to 121^04 would be counted as w.A of a 3-3-5 move to complete w.ii circle or
2. The current wave structure is actually part of w.iv and w.1 down is still unfolding.
NOTE: Either interpretation calls for lower prices in the near term.